no need. Results of the 1st quarter of 2024, review of current press and articles on Habré
As shown in the following article by the same author – Who are large employers in IT now hunting for? Where the author finally began to write real amounts, and not percentage of odds. It’s a pity that there is still no indication of what these figures are – those offered by the organization or how much they actually hire, before taxes “in hand” or after, with a promised bonus later or a net salary?
But still, these are at least some numbers, indicating the methodology for collecting statistics.
The classic example of “water is wet” is still present in articles like Demand for iOS is falling, Javaists are the most in demand, and the share of remote work is growing. IT vacancy market in 2023-2024
The problems with such research, rather self-promotion outside of the coproblog, are: Quote
The number of open vacancies in 2023 increased by 20%: in 2022, more than 555 thousand positions were opened for IT specialists on hh.ru. In 2023, this figure exceeded 634 thousand vacancies
As I wrote here (IT is no longer needed in the Russian Federation? An attempt to analyze the market based on what does not exist), the scenario has not changed for many years. There was a vacancy for which local HR did not find anyone – “it just happened.” It turned out as expected – the salary is small, but there is a lot of work. As some gifted people write – ACHOTAKOVA –
At night, during the year, I was probably woken up 5 times by problems, so I can sleep peacefully. Honest 8 hour working day.
Classic Russian fairy tales –
For you, girl, my life will be easy – you won’t have to work as much as you’ll have rest! In the morning you’ll stand up as expected – before the light. You will wash the hut, tidy up the yard, milk the cows, let them out for the cattle, tidy up the barn and – sleep and rest!
When local HR cannot find anything for 3-6 months, the pig goes into the second stage – our HR is overloaded (you can’t argue with HR management, not corporate), let’s go for a great feat – outsource the search.
Aaaand – and from one vacancy you get three, and if you stress an employee, he will spam in the telegram channel on his own behalf.
Here it is – an increase in the NUMBER of vacancies. As in any industry, quote
An increase in the number of vacancies does not affect wage growth. This is shown by the latest statistics from Avito-Rabota on the marketplace industry. Compared to 2022, in 2023 the number of vacancies for specialists in the marketplace segment increased by 2.3 times, and the average offered salaries increased only by 2%, to 47,841 rubles. Taking into account inflation of 7.5%, the real average salary even fell by 5% – and this despite such an increase in demand for workers. “The top most sought-after employees in the marketplace industry are headed by marketers. The demand for them increased by 3.5 times year on year, and the average salary offers remained practically unchanged and amounted to 46,438 rubles.”
Source with link to telegram – https://t.me/proeconomics/13781
The same as in IT.
That is, growth numbers vacancies without specifying hiring terms and SALARY growth for these vacancies is a factor that shows nothing. They don’t like to list salaries on hh, because there will be no response at all to salaries that are too low, and they can’t be listed that are too high due to a corporate agreement not to poach. Do average (C) – there will be a stream of “show candidates”, they still don’t plan to hire, unless by chance.
What other lies are there in such reports, quote:
37% of vacancies for IT specialists in 2023 involved remote work.
In the Russian Federation, over the past two years, a peculiar understanding of remote work has been practiced – “you must arrive at the office an hour before.” That is, work from home, but at a distance of no more than (taking into account Moscow traffic jams) 20 kilometers from the office. Remote, but there is a nuance.
Funny bulsheet filled in to add volume:
It is also possible that during these periods there are seasonal increasing activity in certain industries that require additional IT resources.
Seasonal IT. Seasonal collection of j(mi)sons? Quarterly reporting?
Number of resumes:
If we consider the market from the perspective of job seekers, local peaks occur in March and October, and the number of open resumes from January 2023 to February 2024 increased by 6%.
Local peaks in the search for employees in October are an attempt to QUICKLY close everything that has been put off all year. March is the result of employees leaving after they received their annual bonus (February, sometimes March) and the beginning of a new hiring simulation cycle.
6% growth – every 15th employee made a fake resume, because otherwise at work they will call the director and start shining a lamp in his eyes to make him admit why he gave a 4 in the degree of satisfaction in an anonymous report, and now he has updated his resume?
Corporate bulletin for volume, quote:
In 2023, we observed that the main headliners of the country's digital transformation
When the HR Director states that True to the course of Lenin-StalinOh, No, Doubleplusgood Duckspeakers about digital transformation, then .. well, the wind blows, water flows, fire burns, management – ideologically strong speech cracker. What is being transformed into? Altushki, perhaps, will be issued for public services?
Other manifestations of Newspeak have appeared, quote:
Another niche in which the number of open vacancies has increased over the year is DevOps specialists by 28% and SRE engineers by 49%.
I have already come to terms with the fact that in the heads of management and HR, DevOps == Linux system administrator + k8s in the cloud, SDLC == heresy, but what is SRE in the heads of HR? Root + DBA ? And where did the growth of 1.5 times come from, they began to write the buzzword everywhere, as they used to write DevOps?
However, the whole article is still a classic story about nothing, without a breakdown of wages and the speed of actual closing of positions. Well, okay, they began to write more about the shortage of personnel, according to the classics from the long-deceased author –
From the “Everything is going according to plan” mode, the state-owned media goes into the “Responsible persons are eliminating certain shortcomings” mode. The key point is that “elimination of shortcomings” should be entirely the merit of the “responsible persons”. System “responsible persons”. “Everything didn’t go a little according to plan, we’ll fix it now.”
Failure to recognize a crisis as a crisis is the main sign of a systemic crisis. That is, the system does not reflect its problems as systemic, changes are not made to the operating mechanism. And he doesn’t solve them normally. And, in general, continues to work “according to plan and ahead of schedule”
In other news. Propaganda
A new copy-paste was poured into the heat on Pikabu, in the style of last year’s “IT guys are back” – only now it’s accompanied by pantsu screenshots of someone from Twitter/X – that the son of his mother’s friend discovered that in Germany and Poland they don’t speak Russian, and some other misfortunes in 2.5 examples. Whatever they can come up with, but still better than a poster “come back, we will give you armor– so far there has been nothing. Flights to Istanbul, Yerevan, Ho Chi Minh City and Phuket to drink beer with old colleagues and relatives are modern realities. Although, in terms of time, it’s already comparable in terms of time to fly from Montenegro to Istanbul, or to go along the regularly blocked Kyiv highway from the region to Sadovoe. Airbus and Boeing are still flying, so import substitution does not threaten flight safety. Well, almost no threat.
Opinion
While there is no public analysis of not “the number of vacancies”, but “the impact of publicly offered salaries, without promised bonuses, on the speed of filling vacancies” – this is all talk, and only talk for those whose KPI is calculated from the number of articles with expressions of “concern”.
As I said at the beginning – nothing new.
